Value bet: Samsunspor to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKocaelispor to win ✓37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor preview and prediction
The match
Kocaelispor host Samsunspor in the Süper Lig on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu. Kocaelispor are 7th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Samsunspor sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kocaelispor's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Konyaspor 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Samsunspor's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Fenerbahçe 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Samsunspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Kocaelispor and 1.4 for Samsunspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Samsunspor to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Kocaelispor 1–1 Samsunspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kocaelispor37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.88
Samsunspor37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
2.83Expected goals
1.42Kocaelispor xG
1.41Samsunspor xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.4 – 1.4 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kocaelispor to win✓
37%
2.70
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kocaelispor / FT Kocaelispor✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.96
–
Form
Kocaelispor – last 6
WWLLLD
29 Aug
@ Konyaspor
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Amed
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Başakşehir
0–2
L
17 May
@ Antalyaspor
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Başakşehir
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
LWDLWW
30 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Rizespor
2–0
W
17 Aug
vs Göztepe
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Kasımpaşa
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ KVC Westerlo
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ AEK Athens FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Samsunspor 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
