Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fenerbahçe to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceFenerbahçe or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş preview and prediction
The match
Beşiktaş travel to Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu in the Süper Lig on Saturday 5 September (18:00 WAT) to face Fenerbahçe. Fenerbahçe are 6th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Beşiktaş sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fenerbahçe's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Samsunspor 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Beşiktaş's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Çorum FK 6–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Fenerbahçe and 1.1 for Beşiktaş. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenerbahçe 62%, draw 23%, Beşiktaş 15%.
Safer route: Fenerbahçe or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Fenerbahçe to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fenerbahçe or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fenerbahçe 2–1 Beşiktaş. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenerbahçe62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Beşiktaş15%fair 6.77 · @4.00
3.50Expected goals
2.36Fenerbahçe xG
1.14Beşiktaş xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 2.4 – 1.1 Beşiktaş expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Our pick is Fenerbahçe or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Beşiktaş 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 2–1 Beşiktaş, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
