Value bet: Gençlerbirliği S.K. to win @ 1.97 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGençlerbirliği S.K. to win ✗58% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Gençlerbirliği S.K. take on Erzurumspor FK on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Eryaman Stadyumu. Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Erzurumspor FK sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Göztepe 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Galatasaray 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Gençlerbirliği S.K. and 1.0 for Erzurumspor FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 58%, draw 20%, Erzurumspor FK 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Gençlerbirliği S.K. to win at 1.97 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–1 Erzurumspor FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gençlerbirliği S.K.58%fair 1.72 · @1.97
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Erzurumspor FK21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
2.74Expected goals
1.79Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG
0.96Erzurumspor FK xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1.8 – 1.0 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gençlerbirliği S.K. to win✗
58%
1.72
1.97 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Gençlerbirliği S.K. ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gençlerbirliği S.K. / FT Gençlerbirliği S.K.✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Gençlerbirliği S.K. – last 6
WWLWLW
23 Aug
@ Göztepe
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ Kasımpaşa
0–3
L
17 May
@ Trabzonspor
3–0
W
13 May
vs Trabzonspor
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Kocaelispor
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
LLDDDW
21 Aug
vs Galatasaray
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Amed
0–3
L
17 Jul
vs Rizespor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Gençlerbirliği S.K. have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Erzurumspor FK 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–1 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Eryaman Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
