Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✓70% · @1.42
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.44
Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Beşiktaş take on Çorum FK on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Tüpraş Stadyumu. Beşiktaş are 4th with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Çorum FK sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Beşiktaş's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Kauno Žalgiris 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Çorum FK's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Kasımpaşa 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Beşiktaş and 0.5 for Çorum FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Beşiktaş 70%, draw 18%, Çorum FK 13%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Beşiktaş 1–0 Çorum FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beşiktaş70%fair 1.44 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @4.20
Çorum FK13%fair 7.93 · @7.80
2.24Expected goals
1.73Beşiktaş xG
0.51Çorum FK xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Beşiktaş 1.7 – 0.5 Çorum FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.44
–
Form
Beşiktaş – last 6
LLWWWW
27 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Alanyaspor
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Kauno Žalgiris
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
13 Aug
vs Hradec Králové
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Hradec Králové
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Çorum FK – last 6
LDWLWW
22 Aug
vs Kasımpaşa
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–2
D
24 May
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
11 May
@ Bodrum FK
0–1
L
7 May
vs Keçiörengücü
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Sakaryaspor
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beşiktaş and Çorum FK.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK?
On our numbers Beşiktaş have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Çorum FK 13%.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK?
Our predicted score is Beşiktaş 1–0 Çorum FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK?
Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Tüpraş Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
