Value bet: Amed to win @ 3.25 – our chance 44% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +41%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmed to win ✗44% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.03
Kocaelispor vs Amed preview and prediction
The match
Amed travel to Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Monday 24 August (19:30 WAT) to face Kocaelispor. Kocaelispor are 7th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Amed sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kocaelispor's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Başakşehir 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Amed's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Erzurumspor FK 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Amed arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Kocaelispor and 1.3 for Amed. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kocaelispor 34%, draw 22%, Amed 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Amed to win at 3.25 – 44% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Kocaelispor 1–1 Amed. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kocaelispor34%fair 2.93 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Amed44%fair 2.30 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.15Kocaelispor xG
1.35Amed xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.2 – 1.3 Amed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amed to win✗
44%
2.30
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amed / FT Amed✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.03
–
Form
Kocaelispor – last 6
LLLDLL
16 Aug
@ Başakşehir
0–2
L
17 May
@ Antalyaspor
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Başakşehir
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Alanyaspor
0–5
L
14 Mar
vs Konyaspor
1–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Amed – last 6
WDLDDW
16 Aug
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Bodrum FK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bandırmaspor
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Ümraniyespor
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Boluspor
6–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Amed.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Amed?
On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Amed 44%.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Amed?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Amed?
Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 1–1 Amed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kocaelispor vs Amed?
Kocaelispor vs Amed (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
