Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGalatasaray to win ✓63% · @1.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Erzurumspor FK take on Galatasaray on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu. Erzurumspor FK are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Galatasaray sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Amed 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Galatasaray's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Çorum FK 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Erzurumspor FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Erzurumspor FK and 2.1 for Galatasaray. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erzurumspor FK 19%, draw 19%, Galatasaray 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Galatasaray. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzurumspor FK19%fair 5.34 · @6.20
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @4.75
Galatasaray63%fair 1.60 · @1.43
3.20Expected goals
1.06Erzurumspor FK xG
2.13Galatasaray xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.1 – 2.1 Galatasaray expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galatasaray to win✓
63%
1.60
1.43
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.42
Half-time result
Galatasaray ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galatasaray / FT Galatasaray✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
LDDDWW
16 Aug
@ Amed
0–3
L
17 Jul
vs Rizespor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ İstanbulspor
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Galatasaray – last 6
DLDLLW
14 Aug
vs Çorum FK
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Villarreal
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Rennes
3–3
D
27 Jul
vs Venezia
0–3
L
24 Jul
vs Monza
0–2
L
17 Jul
@ Ümraniyespor
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Galatasaray.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Galatasaray 63%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Galatasaray, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
