Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Recoleta host Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional Clausura on Monday 3 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Ricardo Gregor. Deportivo Recoleta are 11th with 16 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Nacional Asuncion sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Libertad Asuncion 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Olimpia 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Nacional Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Deportivo Recoleta 2–2 Nacional Asuncion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.6 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Recoleta 27%, draw 22%, Nacional Asuncion 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Recoleta27%fair 3.73 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Nacional Asuncion51%fair 1.96 · @1.99
2.58Expected goals
1.03Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.55Nacional Asuncion xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.0 – 1.6 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nacional Asuncion 51%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ricardo Gregor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
