Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.88 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpia to win ✓64% · @1.88
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.68
Olimpia vs Rubio NU preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees Olimpia take on Rubio NU on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. Olimpia are 1st with 42 points from 19 games (top of the table), while Rubio NU sit 10th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Olimpia's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Nacional Asuncion 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Rubio NU's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Olimpia and 0.5 for Rubio NU. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olimpia 64%, draw 24%, Rubio NU 12%.
Safer route: Olimpia or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Olimpia to win at 1.88 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Olimpia 1–0 Rubio NU. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpia64%fair 1.57 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.30
Rubio NU12%fair 8.37 · @3.95
1.94Expected goals
1.48Olimpia xG
0.45Rubio NU xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.5 – 0.5 Rubio NU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpia to win✓
64%
1.57
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Olimpia or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpia / FT Olimpia✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.68
–
Form
Olimpia – last 6
LLLWWW
29 Jul
@ Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Flamengo
2–4
L
27 May
vs A. Italiano
3–1
W
20 May
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–1
W
7 May
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rubio NU – last 6
DLLDWW
28 Jul
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
24 May
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
3 May
vs Sportivo Luqueno
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–0
W
20 Apr
vs Libertad Asuncion
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpia and Rubio NU.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Olimpia vs Rubio NU?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rubio NU 12%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Rubio NU?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Rubio NU?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Rubio NU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Rubio NU?
Olimpia vs Rubio NU (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
