Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Sportivo Ameliano to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano preview and prediction
The match
Sportivo Ameliano travel to Estadio La Arboleda in the Division Profesional Clausura on Tuesday 28 July (20:00 WAT) to face Rubio NU. Rubio NU are 10th with 17 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Sportivo Ameliano sit 9th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rubio NU's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to 2 de Mayo 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Nacional Asuncion 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 March 2026, finished Rubio NU 1–2 Sportivo Ameliano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Rubio NU and 1.1 for Sportivo Ameliano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rubio NU 29%, draw 23%, Sportivo Ameliano 47%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Sportivo Ameliano to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Rubio NU 0–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubio NU29%fair 3.43 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.98
Sportivo Ameliano47%fair 2.11 · @2.30
1.87Expected goals
0.77Rubio NU xG
1.11Sportivo Ameliano xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Rubio NU 0.8 – 1.1 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Rubio NU have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Ameliano 47%.
How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Rubio NU 0–1 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
