Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRentistas to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Rentistas vs Cerrito preview and prediction
The match
Rentistas host Cerrito in the Segunda División on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Complejo Rentistas. Rentistas are 2nd with 40 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Cerrito sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rentistas's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Atenas 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cerrito's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Miramar 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Rentistas and 1.2 for Cerrito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Rentistas 1–1 Cerrito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rentistas39%fair 2.59 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Cerrito37%fair 2.70 · @2.75
2.37Expected goals
1.20Rentistas xG
1.17Cerrito xG
57%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rentistas 1.2 – 1.2 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rentistas to win✗
39%
2.59
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rentistas / FT Rentistas✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.92
–
Form
Rentistas – last 6
WLWWLL
12 Jul
@ Atenas
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–1
W
21 Jun
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Oriental
0–3
L
7 Jun
vs Colón
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cerrito – last 6
WDWLLW
12 Jul
vs Miramar
1–0
W
5 Jul
@ Tacuarembo
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ La Luz
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ CA River Plate
4–6
L
7 Jun
vs Atenas
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rentistas and Cerrito.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Rentistas vs Cerrito?
On our numbers Rentistas have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cerrito 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Cerrito?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Cerrito?
Our predicted score is Rentistas 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rentistas vs Cerrito?
Rentistas vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Rentistas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
