FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen preview and prediction
The match
Rot-Weiß Essen travel to Audi Sportpark in the 3. Liga on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT) to face FC Ingolstadt 04. FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Ingolstadt 04's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Waldhof Mannheim 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Rot-Weiß Essen's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Fortuna Köln 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Rot-Weiß Essen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for FC Ingolstadt 04 and 2.0 for Rot-Weiß Essen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Rot-Weiß Essen to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Rot-Weiß Essen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Ingolstadt 0425%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Draw16%fair 6.38 · @3.60
Rot-Weiß Essen59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
3.17Expected goals
1.18FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
1.99Rot-Weiß Essen xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–37%
2–16%
From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.2 – 2.0 Rot-Weiß Essen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6
WLLLLW
14 Oct
@ Waldhof Mannheim
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs SV Wehen
2–4
L
2 Oct
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ FC Viktoria Köln
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Hoffenheim II
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ FC Saarbrücken
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6
WDDDWW
13 Oct
vs Fortuna Köln
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Preußen Münster
3–3
D
3 Oct
@ Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Hansa Rostock
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Waldhof Mannheim
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Würzburger Kickers
6–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Rot-Weiß Essen.
What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Rot-Weiß Essen 59%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Rot-Weiß Essen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
