MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees MSV Duisburg take on FC Viktoria Köln on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at MSV-Arena. MSV Duisburg are 2nd with 29 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FC Viktoria Köln sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MSV Duisburg's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat FC Saarbrücken 4–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
FC Viktoria Köln's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.2 for MSV Duisburg and 2.0 for FC Viktoria Köln. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: MSV Duisburg 2–2 FC Viktoria Köln. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MSV Duisburg42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
FC Viktoria Köln36%fair 2.81 · @2.90
4.22Expected goals
2.19MSV Duisburg xG
2.03FC Viktoria Köln xG
72%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 2.2 – 2.0 FC Viktoria Köln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✗
42%
2.39
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
MSV Duisburg ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.95
–
Form
MSV Duisburg – last 6
WWWWLW
13 Oct
@ FC Saarbrücken
4–2
W
10 Oct
vs Hoffenheim II
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ SV Wehen
4–1
W
15 Sep
vs Havelse
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Viktoria Köln – last 6
DWDWWW
14 Oct
vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Alemannia Aachen
5–2
W
3 Oct
vs 1. FC Köln
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ SV Meppen
3–1
W
11 Sep
vs Hansa Rostock
4–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and FC Viktoria Köln.
What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln?
On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Viktoria Köln 36%.
How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln?
Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 2–2 FC Viktoria Köln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln?
MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at MSV-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
