MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
MSV Duisburg or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMSV Duisburg to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceMSV Duisburg or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees MSV Duisburg take on Hoffenheim II on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at MSV-Arena. MSV Duisburg are 2nd with 29 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Hoffenheim II sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
MSV Duisburg's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat SV Wehen 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Hoffenheim II's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat SV Meppen 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for MSV Duisburg and 1.1 for Hoffenheim II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: MSV Duisburg 61%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 15%.
Safer route: MSV Duisburg or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was MSV Duisburg or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: MSV Duisburg 2–1 Hoffenheim II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MSV Duisburg61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.80
Hoffenheim II15%fair 6.59 · @3.80
3.43Expected goals
2.30MSV Duisburg xG
1.13Hoffenheim II xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–07%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 2.3 – 1.1 Hoffenheim II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
MSV Duisburg or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
MSV Duisburg ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
MSV Duisburg – last 6
WWLWWL
20 Sep
@ SV Wehen
4–1
W
15 Sep
vs Havelse
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Würzburger Kickers
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hoffenheim II – last 6
WWDLWW
19 Sep
vs SV Meppen
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Fortuna Köln
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II.
What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
Our pick is MSV Duisburg or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hoffenheim II 15%.
How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 2–1 Hoffenheim II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at MSV-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
