FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Ingolstadt 04 to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceFC Ingolstadt 04 or draw ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II preview and prediction
The match
FC Ingolstadt 04 host Hoffenheim II in the 3. Liga on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Audi Sportpark. FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Hoffenheim II sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Ingolstadt 04's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat FC Saarbrücken 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hoffenheim II's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Fortuna Köln 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.1 for Hoffenheim II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Ingolstadt 04 58%, draw 21%, Hoffenheim II 21%.
Safer route: FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw (79%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Hoffenheim II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Ingolstadt 0458%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
Hoffenheim II21%fair 4.86 · @3.20
3.00Expected goals
1.94FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
1.06Hoffenheim II xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.9 – 1.1 Hoffenheim II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win✗
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
FC Ingolstadt 04 ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Ingolstadt 04 / FT FC Ingolstadt 04✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6
WLWDDL
12 Sep
@ FC Saarbrücken
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Alemannia Aachen
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Preußen Münster
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Würzburger Kickers
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hoffenheim II – last 6
DLWWLL
13 Sep
vs Fortuna Köln
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Hansa Rostock
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ FC 08 Homburg
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Hoffenheim II.
What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?
Our pick is FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?
On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hoffenheim II 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?
Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Hoffenheim II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II (3. Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
