Value bet: Fortuna Köln to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortuna Köln to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees Fortuna Köln take on Fortuna Düsseldorf on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). Fortuna Köln are 19th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 13th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fortuna Köln's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Verl 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fortuna Düsseldorf's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Stuttgart II 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Fortuna Köln arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Fortuna Köln and 1.0 for Fortuna Düsseldorf. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Fortuna Köln to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Fortuna Köln 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortuna Köln39%fair 2.59 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Fortuna Düsseldorf37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
2.00Expected goals
1.01Fortuna Köln xG
0.99Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
55%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fortuna Köln 1.0 – 1.0 Fortuna Düsseldorf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Köln to win✗
39%
2.59
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Fortuna Köln – last 6
WDLWWW
29 Aug
@ Verl
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Alemannia Aachen
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Kickers Offenbach
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ VVV Venlo
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Borussia M'gladbach II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 6
WLLLWL
28 Aug
vs Stuttgart II
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs SC Freiburg
1–5
L
15 Aug
vs Hoffenheim II
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Waldhof Mannheim
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Lask Linz
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Köln and Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
On our numbers Fortuna Köln have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortuna Düsseldorf 37%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Köln 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
