Value bet: Verl to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVerl to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Alemannia Aachen vs Verl preview and prediction
The match
Verl travel to Tivoli in the 3. Liga on Sunday 9 August (18:30 WAT) to face Alemannia Aachen. Alemannia Aachen are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Verl sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alemannia Aachen's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Eintracht Trier 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Verl's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to RB Leipzig 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Alemannia Aachen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Alemannia Aachen 3–1 Verl.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Alemannia Aachen and 1.7 for Verl. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Verl to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Alemannia Aachen 1–1 Verl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alemannia Aachen39%fair 2.54 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.90
Verl40%fair 2.52 · @3.10
3.35Expected goals
1.67Alemannia Aachen xG
1.68Verl xG
68%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Alemannia Aachen 1.7 – 1.7 Verl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alemannia Aachen vs Verl?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Alemannia Aachen vs Verl?
On our numbers Alemannia Aachen have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Verl 40%.
How many goals will there be in Alemannia Aachen vs Verl?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alemannia Aachen vs Verl?
Our predicted score is Alemannia Aachen 1–1 Verl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Alemannia Aachen vs Verl?
Alemannia Aachen vs Verl (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Tivoli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.