Value bet: Tyumen to win @ 1.60 – our chance 67% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTyumen to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceTyumen or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Tyumen vs Torpedo Miass preview and prediction
The match
Tyumen host Torpedo Miass in the Second League A Fall Season Silver on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Geolog Stadium. Tyumen are 3rd with 22 points from 12 games, while Torpedo Miass sit 4th on 19 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tyumen's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Torpedo Miass's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Izhevsk 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Tyumen and 0.5 for Torpedo Miass. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Tyumen to win at 1.60 – 67% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Tyumen 1–0 Torpedo Miass. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tyumen67%fair 1.49 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.34
Torpedo Miass10%fair 10.48 · @5.30
2.22Expected goals
1.73Tyumen xG
0.50Torpedo Miass xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tyumen 1.7 – 0.5 Torpedo Miass expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tyumen to win✓
67%
1.49
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Tyumen or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.94 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Half-time result
Tyumen ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tyumen / FT Tyumen✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Form
Tyumen – last 6
LLLWDL
12 Aug
@ Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Dinamo Stavropol
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Amkar
0–2
L
25 Jul
@ Dinamo Moskva II
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2–2
D
6 Jun
@ Urozhay
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Torpedo Miass – last 6
WLLLLL
12 Aug
@ Izhevsk
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Irtysh Omsk
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Zenit 2
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Dinamo Moskva II
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs Rodina Moskva II
0–3
L
7 Jun
@ Leningradets
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tyumen and Torpedo Miass.
What is the prediction for Tyumen vs Torpedo Miass?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tyumen vs Torpedo Miass?
On our numbers Tyumen have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torpedo Miass 10%.
How many goals will there be in Tyumen vs Torpedo Miass?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tyumen vs Torpedo Miass?
Our predicted score is Tyumen 1–0 Torpedo Miass, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tyumen vs Torpedo Miass?
Tyumen vs Torpedo Miass (Second League A Fall Season Silver) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Geolog Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
