Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Stadion SpartakNovosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV prediction & analysis
Novosibirsk or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
Value bet: Novosibirsk to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.8 – 0.8 Mashuk-KMV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Novosibirsk are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Mashuk-KMV.
Novosibirsk have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Mashuk-KMV have 6 points from their last 6 (0W 6D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Novosibirsk come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Novosibirsk, 0.8 for Mashuk-KMV). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Novosibirsk have won 0, Mashuk-KMV have won 2 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Novosibirsk or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Novosibirsk to win at 1.88 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Novosibirsk to win ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Novosibirsk or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.56 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| Half-time result | Novosibirsk ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.27 | – |
Form
Novosibirsk – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Dinamo Kirov | 1–6 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs FK Sokol Saratov | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Volgar Astrakhan | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Dinamo Bryansk | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Rodina Moskva II | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Kaluga | 3–0 | W |
Mashuk-KMV – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Dinamo Vladivostok | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Kaluga | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Dinamo Kirov | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Volgar Astrakhan | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 6 Sep 2026 | Mashuk-KMV v Novosibirsk | 3–1 |
| 31 May 2026 | Mashuk-KMV v Novosibirsk | 2–0 |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Novosibirsk v Mashuk-KMV | 2–2 |
Second League A Fall Season Gold table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Kirov | 17 | +12 | 34 |
| 2 |  Rodina Moskva II | 17 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Vladivostok | 17 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 17 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Novosibirsk | 17 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 |  Mashuk-KMV | 17 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Sokol Saratov | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Bryansk | 17 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 |  Volgar Astrakhan | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Kaluga | 17 | -9 | 11 |
More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
Our pick is Novosibirsk or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mashuk-KMV 15%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.