Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Respublikanskij Stadion SpartakAlaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk-KMV prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1.2 – 1.0 Mashuk-KMV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alaniya Vladikavkaz hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 36% for Mashuk-KMV.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Mashuk-KMV have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz, 1.0 for Mashuk-KMV). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Alaniya Vladikavkaz have won 0, Mashuk-KMV have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.28.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alaniya Vladikavkaz to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.06 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.29 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alaniya Vladikavkaz / FT Alaniya Vladikavkaz ✗ | 22% | 4.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.51 | – |
Form
Alaniya Vladikavkaz – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Dinamo Kirov | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs FK Sokol Saratov | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Volgar Astrakhan | 4–4 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Dinamo Bryansk | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Novosibirsk | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Dinamo Vladivostok | 0–0 | D |
Mashuk-KMV – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Kaluga | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Dinamo Kirov | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Volgar Astrakhan | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Rodina Moskva II | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Novosibirsk | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Aug 2026 | Mashuk-KMV v Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 0–0 |
Second League A Fall Season Gold table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Kirov | 17 | +12 | 34 |
| 2 |  Rodina Moskva II | 17 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Vladivostok | 17 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 17 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Novosibirsk | 17 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 |  Mashuk-KMV | 17 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Sokol Saratov | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Bryansk | 17 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 |  Volgar Astrakhan | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Kaluga | 17 | -9 | 11 |
More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk-KMV?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk-KMV?
On our numbers Alaniya Vladikavkaz have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mashuk-KMV 36%.
How many goals will there be in Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk-KMV?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk-KMV?
Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk-KMV (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.