Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Orbita stadiumKaluga vs Mashuk-KMV prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kaluga 0.9 – 1.2 Mashuk-KMV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mashuk-KMV shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 33% for Kaluga.
Kaluga have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Mashuk-KMV have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 for Kaluga, 1.2 for Mashuk-KMV). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 3 meetings, Kaluga have won 1, Mashuk-KMV have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mashuk-KMV to win ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | 2.18 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.72 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.27 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mashuk-KMV / FT Mashuk-KMV ✗ | 23% | 4.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.07 | – |
Form
Kaluga – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Rodina Moskva II | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Dinamo Kirov | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Novosibirsk | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Dinamo Vladivostok | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs FC UFA | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Volgar Astrakhan | 1–1 | D |
Mashuk-KMV – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Dinamo Kirov | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Volgar Astrakhan | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Rodina Moskva II | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Novosibirsk | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Dinamo Vladivostok | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 16 Aug 2026 | Mashuk-KMV v Kaluga | 1–1 |
| 13 Jun 2026 | Kaluga v Mashuk-KMV | 3–0 |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Mashuk-KMV v Kaluga | 1–1 |
Second League A Fall Season Gold table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Kirov | 17 | +12 | 34 |
| 2 |  Rodina Moskva II | 17 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Vladivostok | 17 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 17 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Novosibirsk | 17 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 |  Mashuk-KMV | 17 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Sokol Saratov | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Bryansk | 17 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 |  Volgar Astrakhan | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Kaluga | 17 | -9 | 11 |
More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mashuk-KMV 45%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV?
Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.