Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Stadion SpartakNovosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.61 · Won ✓
Value bet: Novosibirsk to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.8 – 1.1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Novosibirsk hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 25% for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.
Novosibirsk have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Alaniya Vladikavkaz have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Alaniya Vladikavkaz come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 for Novosibirsk, 1.1 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.61 is close to our fair price of 1.59. For a bigger price, Novosibirsk to win at 1.91 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Novosibirsk to win ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.61 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk ✗ | 33% | 2.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.56 | – |
Form
Novosibirsk – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Mashuk-KMV | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Dinamo Kirov | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Volgar Astrakhan | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Aug | @ KDV | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Dinamo Bryansk | 0–1 | L |
Alaniya Vladikavkaz – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Dinamo Vladivostok | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Kaluga | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Mashuk-KMV | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Dinamo Kirov | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | @ Spartak Nalchik | 3–3 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novosibirsk and Alaniya Vladikavkaz.
Second League A Fall Season Gold table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Kirov | 17 | +12 | 34 |
| 2 |  Rodina Moskva II | 17 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Vladivostok | 17 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 17 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Novosibirsk | 17 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 |  Mashuk-KMV | 17 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Sokol Saratov | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Bryansk | 17 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 |  Volgar Astrakhan | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Kaluga | 17 | -9 | 11 |
More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alaniya Vladikavkaz 25%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.