Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · VyatSShORDinamo Kirov vs Rodina Moskva II prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Rodina Moskva II to win @ 2.22 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dinamo Kirov 0.8 – 1.2 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rodina Moskva II shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 28% for Dinamo Kirov.
Dinamo Kirov have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Rodina Moskva II have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. Rodina Moskva II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.8 for Dinamo Kirov, 1.2 for Rodina Moskva II). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.65. For a bigger price, Rodina Moskva II to win at 2.22 is our value angle (49% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rodina Moskva II to win ✗ | 49% | 2.02 | 2.22 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II ✗ | 26% | 3.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 16% | 6.42 | – |
Form
Dinamo Kirov – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ Novosibirsk | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Amkar | 4–4 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Dinamo Vladivostok | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | @ Broke Boys | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Mashuk-KMV | 0–0 | D |
Rodina Moskva II – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs FK Sokol Saratov | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Volgar Astrakhan | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Dinamo Bryansk | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Kaluga | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Aug | @ Novosibirsk | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Dinamo Vladivostok | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Kirov and Rodina Moskva II.
Second League A Fall Season Gold table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Kirov | 17 | +12 | 34 |
| 2 |  Rodina Moskva II | 17 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Vladivostok | 17 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 17 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Novosibirsk | 17 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 |  Mashuk-KMV | 17 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Sokol Saratov | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Bryansk | 17 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 |  Volgar Astrakhan | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Kaluga | 17 | -9 | 11 |
More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dinamo Kirov vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Dinamo Kirov vs Rodina Moskva II?
On our numbers Dinamo Kirov have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rodina Moskva II 49%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Kirov vs Rodina Moskva II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Dinamo Kirov vs Rodina Moskva II?
Dinamo Kirov vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at VyatSShOR.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.