Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrazil to win ✗64% · @1.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Australia vs Brazil preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Australia take on Brazil on Friday 25 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
Form guide
Australia's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Egypt 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Brazil's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Norway 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Brazil arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Australia and 2.3 for Brazil. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Australia 19%, draw 17%, Brazil 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Australia 1–2 Brazil. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Australia19%fair 5.29 · @7.50
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @4.60
Brazil64%fair 1.57 · @1.35
3.50Expected goals
1.18Australia xG
2.32Brazil xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Australia 1.2 – 2.3 Brazil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✗
64%
1.57
1.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Australia – last 6
DDLWDL
3 Jul
vs Egypt
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Paraguay
0–0
D
19 Jun
@ USA
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Türkiye
2–0
W
6 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–1
D
31 May
@ Mexico
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Brazil – last 6
LWWWDW
5 Jul
vs Norway
1–2
L
29 Jun
vs Japan
2–1
W
24 Jun
@ Scotland
3–0
W
20 Jun
vs Haiti
3–0
W
13 Jun
vs Morocco
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Egypt
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Australia and Brazil.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Australia vs Brazil?
On our numbers Australia have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Brazil 64%.
How many goals will there be in Australia vs Brazil?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Australia vs Brazil?
Our predicted score is Australia 1–2 Brazil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Australia vs Brazil?
Australia vs Brazil (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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