Australia vs Brazil prediction & analysis
Brazil to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Australia 0.8 – 2.4 Brazil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Brazil travel as clear favourites – 71% to win, against 9% for Australia.
Australia have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Brazil have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Brazil come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (0.8 for Australia, 2.4 for Brazil). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 0–3 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Australia have won 0, Brazil have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Brazil to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.41.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Brazil to win ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | Brazil or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time result | Brazil ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Brazil / FT Brazil ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 12% | 8.22 | – |
Form
Australia – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Brazil | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Jul | vs Egypt | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jun | @ Paraguay | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jun | @ USA | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jun | vs Türkiye | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Jun | @ Switzerland | 1–1 | D |
Brazil – last 6
| 25 Sep | @ Australia | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Jul | vs Norway | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jun | vs Japan | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Jun | @ Scotland | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jun | vs Haiti | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Jun | vs Morocco | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 25 Sep 2026 | Australia v Brazil | 1–1 |
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Iran0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Australia vs Brazil?
Our pick is Brazil to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Australia vs Brazil?
On our numbers Australia have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brazil 71%.
How many goals will there be in Australia vs Brazil?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Australia vs Brazil?
Australia vs Brazil (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Accor Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.