Value bet: Ganshoren to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGanshoren to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
RUS Binche vs Ganshoren preview and prediction
The match
Ganshoren travel to face RUS Binche in the Second Amateur Division ACFF on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). RUS Binche are 11th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Ganshoren sit 3rd on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
RUS Binche's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Entité Manageoise 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Ganshoren's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat AS Eupen II 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Ganshoren arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.5 for RUS Binche and 2.5 for Ganshoren. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: RUS Binche 25%, draw 14%, Ganshoren 62%.
Value angle: Ganshoren to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: RUS Binche 1–2 Ganshoren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RUS Binche25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Draw14%fair 7.30 · @3.90
Ganshoren62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
3.95Expected goals
1.48RUS Binche xG
2.47Ganshoren xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: RUS Binche 1.5 – 2.5 Ganshoren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ganshoren to win✗
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Ganshoren ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ganshoren / FT Ganshoren✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
RUS Binche – last 6
WDLDWL
26 Sep
@ Entité Manageoise
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Aywaille
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ La Calamine
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs Stade Mouscronnois
4–4
D
30 Aug
vs Acren-Lessines
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ AS Eupen II
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ganshoren – last 6
WWWDLW
27 Sep
vs AS Eupen II
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ SG-Tertre-Hautrage
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Crossing Schaerbeek
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Ostiches
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Jette
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Union Namur
5–2
W
3.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RUS Binche and Ganshoren.
What is the prediction for RUS Binche vs Ganshoren?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win RUS Binche vs Ganshoren?
On our numbers RUS Binche have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Ganshoren 62%.
How many goals will there be in RUS Binche vs Ganshoren?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RUS Binche vs Ganshoren?
Our predicted score is RUS Binche 1–2 Ganshoren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is RUS Binche vs Ganshoren?
RUS Binche vs Ganshoren (Second Amateur Division ACFF) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
