Čelik host FK Sarajevo in the Premijer Liga on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Bilino Polje. Čelik are 8th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while FK Sarajevo sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Čelik's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FK Sarajevo's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Sloga Doboj 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Čelik and 1.2 for FK Sarajevo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Čelik 30%, draw 22%, FK Sarajevo 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Čelik 1–1 FK Sarajevo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Čelik30%fair 3.38 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
FK Sarajevo48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
2.13Expected goals
0.88Čelik xG
1.25FK Sarajevo xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Čelik 0.9 – 1.2 FK Sarajevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Sarajevo to win✗
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Sarajevo / FT FK Sarajevo✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Čelik – last 6
DWLDWL
18 Sep
@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Radnik Bijeljina
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ BSK Banja Luka
2–3
L
1 Sep
@ Sloga Doboj
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Velež
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Sarajevo – last 6
WLLWWL
20 Sep
vs Sloga Doboj
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Velež
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Borac Banja Luka
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Siroki Brijeg
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Zrinjski
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Čelik and FK Sarajevo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Čelik vs FK Sarajevo?
On our numbers Čelik have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Sarajevo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Čelik vs FK Sarajevo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Čelik vs FK Sarajevo?
Our predicted score is Čelik 1–1 FK Sarajevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Čelik vs FK Sarajevo?
Čelik vs FK Sarajevo (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bilino Polje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
