Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZeljeznicar Sarajevo to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceZeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.89
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik preview and prediction
The match
The Premijer Liga sees Zeljeznicar Sarajevo take on Čelik on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadion Grbavica. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo are 6th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Čelik sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Sloga Doboj 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Čelik's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Radnik Bijeljina 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and 0.8 for Čelik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 62%, draw 23%, Čelik 14%.
Safer route: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–0 Čelik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.10
Čelik14%fair 7.00 · @3.90
2.71Expected goals
1.90Zeljeznicar Sarajevo xG
0.81Čelik xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1.9 – 0.8 Čelik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win✗
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zeljeznicar Sarajevo / FT Zeljeznicar Sarajevo✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.89
–
Form
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo – last 6
DWWLDL
13 Sep
@ Sloga Doboj
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs FK Sarajevo
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Velež
3–1
W
2 Sep
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Siroki Brijeg
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Zrinjski
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Čelik – last 6
WLDWLL
11 Sep
vs Radnik Bijeljina
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ BSK Banja Luka
2–3
L
1 Sep
@ Sloga Doboj
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Velež
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Siroki Brijeg
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Čelik.
What is the prediction for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik?
Our pick is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik?
On our numbers Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Čelik 14%.
How many goals will there be in Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik?
Our predicted score is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–0 Čelik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik?
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Grbavica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
