Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sloga Doboj to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSloga Doboj to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceSloga Doboj or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.71
Sloga Doboj vs Čelik preview and prediction
The match
Čelik travel to Stadion Luke in the Premijer Liga on Tuesday 1 September (17:30 WAT) to face Sloga Doboj. Sloga Doboj are 10th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Čelik sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sloga Doboj's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat BSK Banja Luka 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Čelik's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Velež 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sloga Doboj arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Sloga Doboj and 0.6 for Čelik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Sloga Doboj to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sloga Doboj 1–0 Čelik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sloga Doboj61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Čelik14%fair 7.30 · @3.95
2.21Expected goals
1.59Sloga Doboj xG
0.61Čelik xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sloga Doboj 1.6 – 0.6 Čelik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sloga Doboj to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sloga Doboj or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sloga Doboj / FT Sloga Doboj✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.71
–
Form
Sloga Doboj – last 6
WLDWWL
29 Aug
@ BSK Banja Luka
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Velež
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–0
D
26 May
vs Rudar Prijedor
1–0
W
22 May
@ Posušje
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ FK Sarajevo
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Čelik – last 6
WLLLDW
28 Aug
vs Velež
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Siroki Brijeg
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ GOŠK Gabela
1–1
D
31 May
vs Igman Konjic
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sloga Doboj and Čelik.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
On our numbers Sloga Doboj have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Čelik 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
Our predicted score is Sloga Doboj 1–0 Čelik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
Sloga Doboj vs Čelik (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Luke.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
