Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelež to win ✗37% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Čelik vs Velež preview and prediction
The match
The Premijer Liga sees Čelik take on Velež on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Bilino Polje. Čelik are 8th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Velež sit 7th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Čelik's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Borac Banja Luka 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Velež's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sloga Doboj 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Čelik and 1.3 for Velež. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Čelik 37%, draw 26%, Velež 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Čelik 1–1 Velež. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Čelik37%fair 2.71 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Velež37%fair 2.67 · @2.75
2.67Expected goals
1.33Čelik xG
1.34Velež xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Čelik 1.3 – 1.3 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✗
37%
2.67
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Čelik – last 6
LLLDWW
23 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Siroki Brijeg
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ GOŠK Gabela
1–1
D
31 May
vs Igman Konjic
4–0
W
24 May
vs Radnik Hadžići
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Velež – last 6
WLLLLW
22 Aug
vs Sloga Doboj
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ BSK Banja Luka
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
1–3
L
30 Jul
vs Dunajska Streda
0–3
L
23 Jul
@ Dunajska Streda
0–1
L
16 Jul
@ Milsami Orhei
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Čelik and Velež.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Čelik vs Velež?
On our numbers Čelik have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Velež 37%.
How many goals will there be in Čelik vs Velež?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Čelik vs Velež?
Our predicted score is Čelik 1–1 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Čelik vs Velež?
Čelik vs Velež (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Bilino Polje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
