Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓6% · fair 15.52
Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United preview and prediction
The match
The Chatham Cup sees Nelson Suburbs take on Auckland United on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.3 for Nelson Suburbs and 2.2 for Auckland United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nelson Suburbs 41%, draw 21%, Auckland United 38%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nelson Suburbs 2–2 Auckland United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nelson Suburbs41%fair 2.44 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.75
Auckland United38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
4.50Expected goals
2.29Nelson Suburbs xG
2.21Auckland United xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–16%
1–26%
1–16%
3–25%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nelson Suburbs 2.3 – 2.2 Auckland United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nelson Suburbs to win✓
41%
2.44
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Half-time result
Nelson Suburbs ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nelson Suburbs / FT Nelson Suburbs✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
6%
15.52
–
Form
Nelson Suburbs
No recent results on record.
Auckland United
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nelson Suburbs and Auckland United.
What is the prediction for Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
On our numbers Nelson Suburbs have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auckland United 38%.
How many goals will there be in Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
Our predicted score is Nelson Suburbs 2–2 Auckland United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United (Chatham Cup) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chatham Cup · New-Zealand
Cashmere Technical2
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