Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultManagua to win ✓70% · @1.44
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.99
Managua vs Rancho Santana preview and prediction
The match
Managua host Rancho Santana in the Copa Nicaragua on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago.
Form guide
Managua's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Rancho Santana 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Rancho Santana's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Managua 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Managua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 July 2026, finished Rancho Santana 2–3 Managua. Across their last 2 meetings Managua have won 2, Rancho Santana 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 3.5 for Managua and 1.5 for Rancho Santana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Managua to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Managua 3–1 Rancho Santana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Managua70%fair 1.43 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.00
Rancho Santana10%fair 10.15 · @5.50
5.00Expected goals
3.45Managua xG
1.55Rancho Santana xG
64%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–16%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
4–25%
From our goals model: Managua 3.5 – 1.5 Rancho Santana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Managua vs Rancho Santana?
Our pick is Managua to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Managua vs Rancho Santana?
On our numbers Managua have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rancho Santana 10%.
How many goals will there be in Managua vs Rancho Santana?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Managua vs Rancho Santana?
Our predicted score is Managua 3–1 Rancho Santana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Managua vs Rancho Santana?
Managua vs Rancho Santana (Copa Nicaragua) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Nicaragua · Nicaragua · Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago
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