Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Roma W to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoma W to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceRoma W or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Roma W vs Fiorentina W preview and prediction
The match
Roma W host Fiorentina W in the Serie A Cup Women on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadio Tre Fontane.
Form guide
Roma W's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Sassuolo W 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fiorentina W's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Ternana W 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Roma W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Roma W 1–1 Fiorentina W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Roma W and 0.8 for Fiorentina W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roma W 57%, draw 26%, Fiorentina W 16%.
Safer route: Roma W or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Roma W to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roma W or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Roma W 1–0 Fiorentina W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roma W57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Fiorentina W16%fair 6.13 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.70Roma W xG
0.80Fiorentina W xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Roma W 1.7 – 0.8 Fiorentina W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Our pick is Roma W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
On our numbers Roma W have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fiorentina W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Our predicted score is Roma W 1–0 Fiorentina W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Roma W vs Fiorentina W (Serie A Cup Women) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Fontane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
