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Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Marsaxlokk to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.75Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMarsaxlokk to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.49

Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk preview and prediction

The match

Marsaxlokk travel to face Gzira United in the Premier League on Sunday 1 November (19:00 WAT). Gzira United are 12th with 5 points from 12 games, while Marsaxlokk sit 2nd on 21 points. A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Gzira United's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Birzebbuga 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Marsaxlokk's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Sliema Wanderers 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Marsaxlokk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Marsaxlokk 2–1 Gzira United.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Gzira United and 2.0 for Marsaxlokk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Marsaxlokk to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gzira United 0–1 Marsaxlokk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Gzira United22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @3.60
Marsaxlokk64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
2.92Expected goals
0.97Gzira United xG
1.95Marsaxlokk xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Gzira United 1.0 – 2.0 Marsaxlokk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarsaxlokk to win ✓64%1.561.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultMarsaxlokk ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marsaxlokk / FT Marsaxlokk ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.49–

Form

Gzira United – last 6

DLDDDD
25 Octvs Birzebbuga2–2D
22 Oct@ Hibernians1–2L
18 Octvs Hamrun Spartans2–2D
14 Octvs Mosta1–1D
11 Oct@ Sliema Wanderers1–1D
14 Sepvs Zabbar St. Patrick0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Marsaxlokk – last 6

LLWWLW
24 Oct@ Sliema Wanderers1–2L
21 Oct@ Birzebbuga0–2L
16 Octvs Birkirkara2–0W
10 Octvs Zabbar St. Patrick2–1W
18 Sep@ Hamrun Spartans1–4L
12 Sep@ Floriana5–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Marsaxlokk v Gzira United2–1
Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

Our pick is Marsaxlokk to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

On our numbers Gzira United have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Marsaxlokk 64%.

How many goals will there be in Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

Our predicted score is Gzira United 0–1 Marsaxlokk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.