Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarsaxlokk to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.49
Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk preview and prediction
The match
Marsaxlokk travel to face Gzira United in the Premier League on Sunday 1 November (19:00 WAT). Gzira United are 12th with 5 points from 12 games, while Marsaxlokk sit 2nd on 21 points. A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gzira United's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Birzebbuga 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Marsaxlokk's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Sliema Wanderers 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Marsaxlokk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Marsaxlokk 2–1 Gzira United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Gzira United and 2.0 for Marsaxlokk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gzira United 22%, draw 14%, Marsaxlokk 64%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Marsaxlokk to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gzira United 0–1 Marsaxlokk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gzira United22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @3.60
Marsaxlokk64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
2.92Expected goals
0.97Gzira United xG
1.95Marsaxlokk xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Gzira United 1.0 – 2.0 Marsaxlokk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?
Our pick is Marsaxlokk to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?
On our numbers Gzira United have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Marsaxlokk 64%.
How many goals will there be in Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?
Our predicted score is Gzira United 0–1 Marsaxlokk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?
Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.