Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Hibernians to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHibernians to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceHibernians or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Hibernians vs Gzira United preview and prediction
The match
Hibernians host Gzira United in the Premier League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Hibernians are 4th with 19 points from 12 games, while Gzira United sit 12th on 5 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hibernians's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Birzebbuga 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gzira United's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Hamrun Spartans 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Gzira United 3–2 Hibernians.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Hibernians and 0.8 for Gzira United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hibernians 63%, draw 22%, Gzira United 16%.
Safer route: Hibernians or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Hibernians to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hibernians or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hibernians 1–0 Gzira United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hibernians63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.10
Gzira United16%fair 6.38 · @3.60
2.56Expected goals
1.80Hibernians xG
0.76Gzira United xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Hibernians 1.8 – 0.8 Gzira United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hibernians vs Gzira United?
Our pick is Hibernians or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hibernians vs Gzira United?
On our numbers Hibernians have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gzira United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernians vs Gzira United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernians vs Gzira United?
Our predicted score is Hibernians 1–0 Gzira United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hibernians vs Gzira United?
Hibernians vs Gzira United (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
