Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFloriana to win ✗62% · @1.50
Double chanceFloriana or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Floriana vs Mosta preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Floriana take on Mosta on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Floriana are 6th with 16 points from 12 games, while Mosta sit 9th on 15 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Floriana's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Balzan FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Mosta's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Gzira United 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Floriana and 1.0 for Mosta. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Floriana 62%, draw 20%, Mosta 18%.
Safer route: Floriana or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Floriana to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Floriana 2–1 Mosta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floriana62%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Mosta18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
3.07Expected goals
2.07Floriana xG
1.00Mosta xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Floriana 2.1 – 1.0 Mosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floriana to win✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Double chance
Floriana or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Floriana ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floriana / FT Floriana✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Floriana – last 6
DWLLWD
11 Oct
vs Balzan FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Hibernians
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Marsaxlokk
2–5
L
7 Sep
vs Valletta FC
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Gzira United
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mosta – last 6
DDLDWW
14 Oct
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Birzebbuga
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Balzan FC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floriana and Mosta.
Our pick is Floriana to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Floriana vs Mosta?
On our numbers Floriana have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mosta 18%.
How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Mosta?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floriana vs Mosta?
Our predicted score is Floriana 2–1 Mosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Floriana vs Mosta?
Floriana vs Mosta (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
