Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Mosta to win @ 2.90 – our chance 45% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMosta to win ✗45% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Mosta vs Birzebbuga preview and prediction
The match
Birzebbuga travel to Victor Tedesco Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 9 October (19:00 WAT) to face Mosta. Mosta are 9th with 15 points from 12 games, while Birzebbuga sit 11th on 7 points.
Form guide
Mosta's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Sliema Wanderers 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Birzebbuga's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Valletta FC 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Mosta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Mosta and 1.1 for Birzebbuga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mosta 45%, draw 22%, Birzebbuga 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Mosta to win at 2.90 – 45% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Mosta 1–1 Birzebbuga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mosta45%fair 2.21 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Birzebbuga33%fair 3.07 · @2.25
2.45Expected goals
1.36Mosta xG
1.09Birzebbuga xG
60%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mosta 1.4 – 1.1 Birzebbuga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mosta to win✗
45%
2.21
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mosta / FT Mosta✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Mosta – last 6
LDWWWW
13 Sep
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Balzan FC
2–1
W
17 Aug
@ Hamrun Spartans
2–0
W
10 May
@ Naxxar Lions
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Birzebbuga – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Sep
vs Valletta FC
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Hamrun Spartans
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Balzan FC
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Floriana
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mosta and Birzebbuga.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mosta vs Birzebbuga?
On our numbers Mosta have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Birzebbuga 33%.
How many goals will there be in Mosta vs Birzebbuga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mosta vs Birzebbuga?
Our predicted score is Mosta 1–1 Birzebbuga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mosta vs Birzebbuga?
Mosta vs Birzebbuga (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Victor Tedesco Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
