Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Floriana vs Marsaxlokk preview and prediction
The match
Marsaxlokk travel to face Floriana in the Premier League on Saturday 12 September (19:30 WAT). Floriana are 6th with 16 points from 12 games, while Marsaxlokk sit 2nd on 21 points.
Form guide
Floriana's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Valletta FC 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Marsaxlokk's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Mosta 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Floriana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished Marsaxlokk 1–3 Floriana. Across their last 2 meetings Floriana have won 1, Marsaxlokk 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Floriana and 1.0 for Marsaxlokk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Floriana to win – a 52% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Floriana 1–0 Marsaxlokk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floriana52%fair 1.93 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Marsaxlokk27%fair 3.67 · @3.25
2.48Expected goals
1.50Floriana xG
0.98Marsaxlokk xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Floriana 1.5 – 1.0 Marsaxlokk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
Our pick is Floriana to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
On our numbers Floriana have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Marsaxlokk 27%.
How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
Our predicted score is Floriana 1–0 Marsaxlokk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
Floriana vs Marsaxlokk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
