Value bet: Floriana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFloriana to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceFloriana or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Sliema Wanderers travel to Centenary Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 21 August (17:30 WAT) to face Floriana. Floriana are 6th with 16 points from 12 games, while Sliema Wanderers sit 3rd on 21 points.
Form guide
Floriana's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Birzebbuga 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sliema Wanderers's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Hibernians 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Floriana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Floriana and 0.7 for Sliema Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Floriana to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Floriana 1–0 Sliema Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floriana63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Sliema Wanderers12%fair 8.38 · @3.90
2.43Expected goals
1.78Floriana xG
0.65Sliema Wanderers xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Floriana 1.8 – 0.7 Sliema Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floriana to win✓
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Floriana or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Floriana ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floriana / FT Floriana✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.40
–
Form
Floriana – last 6
WDDLWW
14 Aug
@ Birzebbuga
3–0
W
28 Jul
@ Drita
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Drita
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–5
L
7 Jul
vs Shamrock Rovers
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sliema Wanderers – last 6
LLDDWD
16 Aug
vs Hibernians
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Tarxien Rainbows
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Mosta
2–2
D
14 Apr
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Hibernians
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floriana and Sliema Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
On our numbers Floriana have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sliema Wanderers 12%.
How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Floriana 1–0 Sliema Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
