Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv Kyiv to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceLokomotiv Kyiv or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets preview and prediction
The match
The Persha Liga sees Lokomotiv Kyiv take on Inhulets on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT). Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Inhulets sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Kyiv's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to UCSA 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Inhulets's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Kolos Kovalivka II 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Lokomotiv Kyiv and 0.8 for Inhulets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Safer route: Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–0 Inhulets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Kyiv58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.20
Inhulets21%fair 4.76 · @4.00
2.48Expected goals
1.63Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
0.85Inhulets xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.6 – 0.8 Inhulets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Kyiv to win✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Kyiv / FT Lokomotiv Kyiv✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.31
–
Form
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
LDWDWW
25 Oct
@ UCSA
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs Nyva Ternopil
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Oleksandria
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Polissya II
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Kulykiv
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Inhulets – last 6
WLLLWW
25 Oct
vs Kolos Kovalivka II
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Yarud Mariupol'
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Prykarpattia
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Metal Kharkiv
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Kyiv and Inhulets.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets?
Our pick is Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Kyiv have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Inhulets 21%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–0 Inhulets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets?
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
