Value bet: Nyva Ternopil to win @ 3.34 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv Kyiv to win ✗45% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv Kyiv host Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT). Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Nyva Ternopil sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Kyiv's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Oleksandria 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Nyva Ternopil's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Kolos Kovalivka II 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Lokomotiv Kyiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Lokomotiv Kyiv and 1.1 for Nyva Ternopil. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Nyva Ternopil to win at 3.34 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Nyva Ternopil. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Kyiv45%fair 2.24 · @2.06
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.17
Nyva Ternopil33%fair 3.00 · @3.34
2.35Expected goals
1.29Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
1.06Nyva Ternopil xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.3 – 1.1 Nyva Ternopil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Kyiv to win✗
45%
2.24
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.86
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Kyiv / FT Lokomotiv Kyiv✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
WDWWWL
11 Oct
@ Oleksandria
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Polissya II
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Kulykiv
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs SK Poltava
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nyva Ternopil – last 6
WDDWLL
11 Oct
vs Kolos Kovalivka II
3–1
W
5 Oct
@ Yarud Mariupol'
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–0
D
21 Sep
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Prykarpattia
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Chernihiv
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Kyiv and Nyva Ternopil.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Kyiv have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nyva Ternopil 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Nyva Ternopil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
