Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Yarud Mariupol' or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYarud Mariupol' to win ✗57% · @1.83
Double chanceYarud Mariupol' or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil preview and prediction
The match
Yarud Mariupol' host Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Kolos Stadium. Yarud Mariupol' are 2nd with 28 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Nyva Ternopil sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Yarud Mariupol''s last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Oleksandria 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Nyva Ternopil's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Yarud Mariupol' arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Yarud Mariupol' and 0.8 for Nyva Ternopil. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%.
Safer route: Yarud Mariupol' or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yarud Mariupol' or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Yarud Mariupol' 1–0 Nyva Ternopil. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yarud Mariupol'57%fair 1.76 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.20
Nyva Ternopil20%fair 4.96 · @3.75
2.28Expected goals
1.52Yarud Mariupol' xG
0.76Nyva Ternopil xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Yarud Mariupol' 1.5 – 0.8 Nyva Ternopil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yarud Mariupol' to win✗
57%
1.76
1.83
Double chance
Yarud Mariupol' or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yarud Mariupol' / FT Yarud Mariupol'✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.43
–
Form
Yarud Mariupol' – last 6
DWWLDW
27 Sep
@ Oleksandria
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Polissya II
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
9 Sep
vs Zorya Luhansk
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Kulykiv
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nyva Ternopil – last 6
DWLLDL
27 Sep
vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–0
D
21 Sep
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Prykarpattia
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Chernihiv
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Metal Kharkiv
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Bukovyna
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yarud Mariupol' and Nyva Ternopil.
What is the prediction for Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our pick is Yarud Mariupol' or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
On our numbers Yarud Mariupol' have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nyva Ternopil 20%.
How many goals will there be in Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our predicted score is Yarud Mariupol' 1–0 Nyva Ternopil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil (Persha Liga) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Kolos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
