Value bet: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win @ 2.97 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultProbiy Horodenka to win ✗39% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv preview and prediction
The match
The Persha Liga sees Probiy Horodenka take on Lokomotiv Kyiv on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Probiy Horodenka are 14th with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 9th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Probiy Horodenka's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Kolos Kovalivka II 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Lokomotiv Kyiv's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Kulykiv 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lokomotiv Kyiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 August 2026, finished Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–3 Probiy Horodenka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Probiy Horodenka and 1.3 for Lokomotiv Kyiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win at 2.97 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Probiy Horodenka 1–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Probiy Horodenka39%fair 2.60 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.18
Lokomotiv Kyiv38%fair 2.65 · @2.97
2.69Expected goals
1.35Probiy Horodenka xG
1.33Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Probiy Horodenka 1.4 – 1.3 Lokomotiv Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
On our numbers Probiy Horodenka have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv Kyiv 38%.
How many goals will there be in Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our predicted score is Probiy Horodenka 1–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
