Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
SK Poltava or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: SK Poltava to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSK Poltava to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceSK Poltava or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.42
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv Kyiv host SK Poltava in the Persha Liga on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT). Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while SK Poltava sit 6th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lokomotiv Kyiv's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Kolos Kovalivka II 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
SK Poltava's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Inhulets 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SK Poltava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Lokomotiv Kyiv and 1.4 for SK Poltava. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv Kyiv 20%, draw 22%, SK Poltava 58%.
Safer route: SK Poltava or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Value angle: SK Poltava to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SK Poltava or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Kyiv 0–1 SK Poltava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Kyiv20%fair 5.09 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
SK Poltava58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
2.02Expected goals
0.63Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
1.39SK Poltava xG
39%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–013%
0–213%
1–112%
1–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Kyiv 0.6 – 1.4 SK Poltava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SK Poltava to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
SK Poltava or draw✗
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SK Poltava / FT SK Poltava✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.42
–
Form
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
LLLDLD
4 Sep
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Yarud Mariupol'
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Probiy Horodenka
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Prykarpattia
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SK Poltava – last 6
DWDDWD
4 Sep
vs Inhulets
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Mayak Sarny
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs UCSA
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Yarud Mariupol'
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Nyva Ternopil
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Kyiv and SK Poltava.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
Our pick is SK Poltava or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Kyiv have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SK Poltava 58%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Kyiv 0–1 SK Poltava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
