Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: SK Poltava to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSK Poltava to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceSK Poltava or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
SK Poltava vs Inhulets preview and prediction
The match
The Persha Liga sees SK Poltava take on Inhulets on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Lokomotyv Stadium. SK Poltava are 6th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Inhulets sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
SK Poltava's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Kolos Kovalivka II 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Inhulets's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat UCSA 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
SK Poltava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for SK Poltava and 0.7 for Inhulets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: SK Poltava 61%, draw 24%, Inhulets 15%.
Safer route: SK Poltava or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: SK Poltava to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SK Poltava or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SK Poltava 1–0 Inhulets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SK Poltava61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Inhulets15%fair 6.67 · @3.80
2.50Expected goals
1.76SK Poltava xG
0.74Inhulets xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: SK Poltava 1.8 – 0.7 Inhulets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SK Poltava to win✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
SK Poltava or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
SK Poltava ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SK Poltava / FT SK Poltava✗
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
SK Poltava – last 6
WDDWDW
28 Aug
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Mayak Sarny
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs UCSA
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Yarud Mariupol'
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Nyva Ternopil
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Inhulets – last 6
WLLLWD
29 Aug
@ UCSA
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Veres Rivne
1–4
L
16 Aug
vs Nyva Ternopil
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Oleksandria
0–3
L
3 Aug
vs Polissya II
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SK Poltava and Inhulets.
What is the prediction for SK Poltava vs Inhulets?
Our pick is SK Poltava or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SK Poltava vs Inhulets?
On our numbers SK Poltava have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Inhulets 15%.
How many goals will there be in SK Poltava vs Inhulets?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SK Poltava vs Inhulets?
Our predicted score is SK Poltava 1–0 Inhulets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is SK Poltava vs Inhulets?
SK Poltava vs Inhulets (Persha Liga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotyv Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
