Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Gramadense to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas preview and prediction
The match
Gramadense host Brasil DE Pelotas in the Copa Gaúcha on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Gramadense's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Bagé 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brasil DE Pelotas's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Santa Cruz RS 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Gramadense and 1.2 for Brasil DE Pelotas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gramadense 34%, draw 23%, Brasil DE Pelotas 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Gramadense to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Gramadense 1–1 Brasil DE Pelotas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gramadense34%fair 2.93 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.95
Brasil DE Pelotas42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
2.25Expected goals
1.05Gramadense xG
1.21Brasil DE Pelotas xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gramadense 1.0 – 1.2 Brasil DE Pelotas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brasil DE Pelotas to win✗
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brasil DE Pelotas / FT Brasil DE Pelotas✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.88
–
Form
Gramadense – last 6
LWDWWD
5 Jul
vs Bagé
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Bagé
1–0
W
17 Jun
@ Santa Cruz RS
2–2
D
11 Jun
vs Monsoon
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Brasil Farroupilha
1–0
W
30 May
vs Brasil Farroupilha
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Brasil DE Pelotas – last 6
WDDWDD
4 Jul
vs Santa Cruz RS
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Santa Cruz RS
1–1
D
17 Jun
@ Guarany de Bagé
3–3
D
10 Jun
vs Farroupilha
4–0
W
7 Jun
@ Azuriz
1–1
D
4 Jun
@ Bagé
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gramadense and Brasil DE Pelotas.
What is the prediction for Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
On our numbers Gramadense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brasil DE Pelotas 42%.
How many goals will there be in Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Our predicted score is Gramadense 1–1 Brasil DE Pelotas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
