Belgium travel to SoFi Stadium in the World Cup on Friday 10 July (20:00 WAT) to face Spain.
Form guide
Spain's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Portugal 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belgium's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat USA 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Spain arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Spain and 1.0 for Belgium. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spain 58%, draw 24%, Belgium 18%.
Safer route: Spain or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spain 1–1 Belgium. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spain58%fair 1.73 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.85
Belgium18%fair 5.41 · @5.20
2.67Expected goals
1.72Spain xG
0.95Belgium xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Spain 1.7 – 1.0 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.28
–
Form
Spain – last 6
WWWWDW
6 Jul
@ Portugal
1–0
W
2 Jul
vs Austria
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Saudi Arabia
4–0
W
15 Jun
vs Cape Verde Islands
0–0
D
9 Jun
@ Peru
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Belgium – last 6
WDWDDW
7 Jul
@ USA
4–1
W
1 Jul
vs Senegal
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ New Zealand
5–1
W
21 Jun
vs Iran
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Belgium.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spain vs Belgium?
On our numbers Spain have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Belgium 18%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Belgium?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Belgium?
Our predicted score is Spain 1–1 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spain vs Belgium?
Spain vs Belgium (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
