Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC Urartu to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Urartu to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Urartu or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Sardarapat take on FC Urartu on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Armavir stadium. Sardarapat are 5th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while FC Urartu sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sardarapat's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Gandzasar 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
FC Urartu's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Van 5–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Sardarapat and 2.3 for FC Urartu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sardarapat 16%, draw 20%, FC Urartu 64%.
Safer route: FC Urartu or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.65.
Value angle: FC Urartu to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Urartu or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sardarapat 1–2 FC Urartu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sardarapat16%fair 6.15 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.50
FC Urartu64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
3.40Expected goals
1.09Sardarapat xG
2.31FC Urartu xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sardarapat 1.1 – 2.3 FC Urartu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Urartu to win✗
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
FC Urartu or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
FC Urartu ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Urartu / FT FC Urartu✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Sardarapat – last 6
WLDDLL
16 Oct
@ Gandzasar
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs FC Noah
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ BKMA
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Pyunik Yerevan
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Shirak
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Urartu – last 6
WDWLLD
17 Oct
vs Van
5–2
W
11 Oct
vs Ararat
2–2
D
18 Sep
@ Gandzasar
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs FC Noah
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ BKMA
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sardarapat and FC Urartu.
What is the prediction for Sardarapat vs FC Urartu?
Our pick is FC Urartu or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sardarapat vs FC Urartu?
On our numbers Sardarapat have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Urartu 64%.
How many goals will there be in Sardarapat vs FC Urartu?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sardarapat vs FC Urartu?
Our predicted score is Sardarapat 1–2 FC Urartu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sardarapat vs FC Urartu?
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Armavir stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
