Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC Noah to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Noah to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.64
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah preview and prediction
The match
Ararat-Armenia host FC Noah in the Premier League on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Football Academy Stadium. Ararat-Armenia are 3rd with 29 points from 12 games (in the top four), while FC Noah sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to AZ Alkmaar 0–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
FC Noah's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Pyunik Yerevan 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
FC Noah arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Ararat-Armenia 0–4 FC Noah. Across their last 3 meetings Ararat-Armenia have won 0, FC Noah 2, with 1 draw and 1.7 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Ararat-Armenia and 2.1 for FC Noah. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ararat-Armenia 14%, draw 22%, FC Noah 63%.
Safer route: FC Noah or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: FC Noah to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Noah or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ararat-Armenia 0–2 FC Noah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat-Armenia14%fair 6.98 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
FC Noah63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
3.10Expected goals
0.95Ararat-Armenia xG
2.15FC Noah xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 1.0 – 2.1 FC Noah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
Our pick is FC Noah or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Noah 63%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 0–2 FC Noah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
