Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FC Noah to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Noah to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan preview and prediction
The match
FC Noah host Pyunik Yerevan in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Abovyan City Stadium. FC Noah are 1st with 34 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Pyunik Yerevan sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Noah's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Sardarapat 5–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pyunik Yerevan's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat BKMA 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished FC Noah 2–2 Pyunik Yerevan. Across their last 2 meetings FC Noah have won 1, Pyunik Yerevan 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for FC Noah and 1.1 for Pyunik Yerevan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Noah 64%, draw 24%, Pyunik Yerevan 12%.
Safer route: FC Noah or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: FC Noah to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Noah or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Noah 2–1 Pyunik Yerevan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Noah64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.10
Pyunik Yerevan12%fair 8.35 · @3.80
3.50Expected goals
2.43FC Noah xG
1.07Pyunik Yerevan xG
59%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Noah 2.4 – 1.1 Pyunik Yerevan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our pick is FC Noah or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan?
On our numbers FC Noah have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pyunik Yerevan 12%.
How many goals will there be in FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our predicted score is FC Noah 2–1 Pyunik Yerevan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan?
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Abovyan City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
