Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSardarapat to win ✓48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.14
Gandzasar vs Sardarapat preview and prediction
The match
Gandzasar host Sardarapat in the Premier League on Friday 16 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Gandzasar. Gandzasar are 12th with 3 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Sardarapat sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gandzasar's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Van 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Sardarapat's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to FC Noah 1–5 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sardarapat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for Gandzasar and 1.9 for Sardarapat. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Gandzasar 1–1 Sardarapat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gandzasar32%fair 3.17 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Sardarapat48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
3.44Expected goals
1.52Gandzasar xG
1.92Sardarapat xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Gandzasar 1.5 – 1.9 Sardarapat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sardarapat to win✓
48%
2.09
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Sardarapat ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sardarapat / FT Sardarapat✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.14
–
Form
Gandzasar – last 6
LLLLLL
10 Oct
@ Van
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs FC Urartu
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Ararat
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ FC Noah
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs BKMA
0–3
L
21 Aug
@ Alashkert
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sardarapat – last 6
LDDLLW
11 Oct
vs FC Noah
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ BKMA
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Pyunik Yerevan
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Shirak
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Syunik
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gandzasar and Sardarapat.
What is the prediction for Gandzasar vs Sardarapat?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Gandzasar vs Sardarapat?
On our numbers Gandzasar have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sardarapat 48%.
How many goals will there be in Gandzasar vs Sardarapat?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gandzasar vs Sardarapat?
Our predicted score is Gandzasar 1–1 Sardarapat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Gandzasar vs Sardarapat?
Gandzasar vs Sardarapat (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gandzasar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
